Thesis Abstract

Abstract
Road accidents are a significant public health concern in Nigeria, contributing to a high number of fatalities and injuries annually. This study presents a statistical analysis of road accidents in Nigeria, focusing on data collected by the Federal Road Safety Corps (FRSC) in Onitsha, Anambra State from 2002 to 2015. The primary objective is to examine trends, patterns, and factors associated with road accidents during this period. The study utilizes descriptive statistics to analyze the frequency and distribution of road accidents over the 14-year period. Additionally, inferential statistical techniques such as correlation analysis and regression analysis are employed to explore relationships between various factors and the occurrence of accidents. Factors considered include road conditions, weather conditions, time of day, types of vehicles involved, and human factors such as driver behavior and compliance with traffic regulations. The findings reveal a concerning trend of increasing road accidents in Onitsha, Anambra State over the years, with fluctuations observed in different months and seasons. The analysis highlights the influence of factors such as poor road conditions, adverse weather, and human error in contributing to road accidents. Furthermore, the study identifies specific areas and periods with higher accident rates, providing valuable insights for targeted intervention strategies. The correlation analysis indicates significant relationships between certain factors and the occurrence of road accidents. For instance, a strong positive correlation is found between rainy weather conditions and accidents, emphasizing the need for improved road safety measures during adverse weather. Regression analysis further identifies key predictors of road accidents, enabling the development of predictive models to enhance accident prevention efforts. Overall, this study contributes to the understanding of road accident dynamics in Nigeria and provides practical implications for policy-makers, law enforcement agencies, and other stakeholders involved in promoting road safety. By identifying critical factors influencing road accidents and highlighting temporal and spatial patterns, this research offers valuable information to support evidence-based interventions aimed at reducing the burden of road traffic injuries and fatalities in Onitsha, Anambra State, and beyond.

Thesis Overview

INTRODUCTION

1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY

Road transportation is by far the commonest means of transportation in Nigeria when compared to other means like air, rail and water. The technology has made life easy compared to previous means of transportation such as the use of animals during the precolonial era. Nigerian economy despite its flaws, has afforded a large number of its populace the means to own cars making road traffic a major problem with grave disadvantages. In Nigeria, road accidents have been a disturbing phenomenon that has constituted a menace. It is generally believed but not statistically proven that the rate of road accidents in Nigeria has geometrically increased. Road accidents are caused by various reasons, ranging from carelessness on the part of the drivers to the deplorable nature of our roads. Put differently, Nigerian roads have become killing fields without protection for their users. Travelers heave a sigh of relief if they make their destinations.

The worrisome trend has tremendous negative impact on the nation’s health system as well as its social and economic aspirations. It was estimated that the total number of registered vehicles in Nigeria rose between 1990 – 2006 from 700,000 to 6,000,000 (Umar 2010). Despite the happiness this brought and change of quality of family lives associated with owning a vehicle, its possession has made so many families bereaved of their breadwinners or lovely ones due to unprecedented rate of road traffic accidents in Nigeria. According to the Federal Road Safety Commission, not less than 88,520 road users lost their lives between 1991 and 2000 alone, most victims being between 20-40 years.  There is need to view road accident as a very major issue requiring urgent attention aimed at preventing premature deaths, reducing the health, social and economic impacts it portends to the average Nigerian. This disturbing assertion will be the bedrock of our statistical study on road accidents in Nigeria.

1.2  STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM

In Nigeria today, the issue of road accidents has become a teething problem. There has been a major problem of the cardinal factors responsible for road accidents in Nigeria. Another problem is to know if accidents in Nigeria are related to sex, age and educational background of road users. There is also confusion as to the major causes of road accidents in Nigeria. The above problems have been our chief motivators in undertaking this statistical research work.

1.3   AIMS AND OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

This study is aimed at establishing the following factors:

i. To know if road accidents in Nigeria are gender based, that is, do female road users fall victim of road accidents than their male counterparts.

ii. To equally know if road accidents in Nigeria are age based.

iii. To ascertain if there is a statistically significant relationship between educational background and road accidents in Nigeria.

iv. To know if record of road accidents in Nigeria has increased or not.

v. To educate Nigerians and those interested in this study on the outcome of our research.

1.4   RESEARCH HYPOTHESES

HYPOTHESIS 1

H0: There is no significant relationship between age and road accidents in Nigeria.

H1: There is significant relationship between age and road accidents in Nigeria.

HYPOTHESIS 2

H0: There is no significant relationship between educational background and road accidents in Nigeria.

H1: There is significant relationship between educational background and road accidents in Nigeria.

HYPOTHESIS 3

H0: there is no significant relationship between gender and road accidents in Nigeria.

H1: there is significant relationship between gender and road accidents in Nigeria.

1.5  SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY

One major significance of this study is to educate millions of Nigerians on the main causes of road accidents and ways to prevent or reduce them on our roads. Another significance of this study is to know if the number of road accidents has increased overtime. Thirdly, to know if the reported number of road accidents in Nigeria is gender based and also to know if there is a relationship between educational background and road accidents in Nigeria. We are also interested in knowing the major causes of road accidents in Nigeria so as to educate the Nigeria populace.

1.6   SCOPE AND LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY

For the purpose of this study as the topic depicts, the scope of the essay will be focused on the statistical analysis on the causes of road accidents in Nigeria. To know the relationship between bio- data factors and road accidents in Nigeria, that is, knowing if there is a relationship between age, educational background and gender on road accidents in Nigeria.

1.7   LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY

It is necessary to mention some of the limitation of this research work. One of the major limitations is in the getting relevant educational materials used in the research work. Another  limitation of this research work is the difficulty in obtaining relevant information in that a few of our values were missing but these missing values were not statistical significant enough to be noticed. It is hoped that despite these limitations, the study would still be useful to Nigerians, organizations etc.

1.8   DEFINITION OF TERMS

Accident: An unpleasant event especially in a vehicle, that happens unexpectedly and causes injury or damage

Road accident: A traffic accident involving vehicles, pedestrians or cyclists.